Preliminary results

Mubarak has 78-80%, and Nour comes second with 12%. Huge upset in Nour's favor, whom many people thought would lose out to Nomaan Gomaa for second place. This makes Nour a rising political figure and his party a strong contender to overtake the liberal flame from Al Wafd. Or, less likely, the Wafdists will get tired of their uncharismatic president who probably lost them the second place despite a quite good campaign. This might also hurt them in the parliamentary elections.

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Issandr El Amrani

Issandr El Amrani is a Cairo-based writer and consultant. His reporting and commentary on the Middle East and North Africa has appeared in The Economist, London Review of Books, Financial Times, The National, The Guardian, Time and other publications. He also publishes one of the longest-running blog in the region, www.arabist.net.